Communism to Capitalism 

Published by the National Geographic Society  Magazine

Washington D.C., March 1993

The economic evolution of the Former Soviet Union (FSU)

In the wake of a democratic revolution, 15 independent states emerged from the ruins of the Soviet Union. Yet the overthrow of communism may be remembered by these new nations as child’s play, so daunting are the challenges now before them. Politically they are at risk from within, as nationalist demagogues threaten to sabotage the aspiring democracies. Economically they reel from trial to error, since history offers no guides for the excruciating process of dismantling a long- entrenched communist complex. 

Before Lenin and his Bolsheviks hijacked Russia’s popular revolution in 1917, a dynamic industrial base had been belatedly established in tsarist Russia, propelling it to fifth place among world economies. During Lenin’s early leadership, an economy crippled by civil war spurred him to adopt his New Economic Policy, (NEP), a seven-year reprieve from state control for traditional farming and some private industry. Four years after Lenin’s death in 1924, the NEP was discarded by dictator Joseph Stalin, whose Five-Year Plan began the total nationalization of the economy. Within a generation this once agrarian land was transformed into an industrial power second only to the United States. 

By the mid-1930s nothing of value, except small agricultural holdings, remained in private hands. The entire economy was managed through a vast hierarchy of committees, headed by the State Planning Commission (Gosplan). It, in turn, took its orders from the Communist Party through the government’s Council of Ministers, which established production goals in a series of five-year plans. These goals were determined not by market forces but by bureaucratic analysis. In such a system, profit and loss were vague concepts, efficiency was of secondary importance, and money-losing enterprises were rarely shut down. Competition was suppressed, and production became highly concentrated in certain industries, such as the manufacture of automobiles and sewing machines. Because prices were unrelated to supply and demand, consumer items fell into chronic shortage, forcing customers to stand in endless lines. 

Prior to Stalin’s death in 1953, the forced labor of political prisoners figured large in the growth of the economy. Late, low productivity helped keep the demand for labor high and unemployment near zero. 

Agriculture, the Achilles’ heel of the economy, was divided between collective and state farms. Both suffered from a lack of incentive for workers and a shortage of expertise on the part of planners in Moscow. Always the latter gave top priority to heavy industry and weapons production, the Rolls-Royce sector of the Soviet economy. 

By the early 1970s stagnation was setting in as Stalin’s mighty creation began to malfunction from its own weight and internal contradictions. At first planners papered over their losses with oil and gas revenues, which rose spectacularly after the creation of OPEC. At the same time, they began restructuring areas of the economy around Terrible Production Complexes-regions self-sufficient in energy, minerals, and labor. 

Productivity, however, continued to lag. By 1986 the need for real economic reform, or perestroika, was obvious to the new leadership under Mikhail Gorbachev. What he failed to see was that his policy of Glasnost, of openness, would unleash a whirlwind of pent-up longings that would bring the whole communist structure crashing down, along with its empire.

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